Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000196 0.000219 0.000244 0.000273 0.000305 0.000339 0.000379
2025-06-08 0.000160 0.000191 0.000226 0.000269 0.000320 0.000378 0.000450
2025-06-15 0.000135 0.000171 0.000213 0.000268 0.000336 0.000419 0.000525
2025-06-22 0.000116 0.000154 0.000201 0.000265 0.000349 0.000454 0.000596
2025-06-29 0.000103 0.000143 0.000196 0.000269 0.000368 0.000499 0.000683
2025-07-06 0.000093 0.000134 0.000189 0.000270 0.000384 0.000539 0.000765
2025-07-13 0.000082 0.000123 0.000181 0.000267 0.000394 0.000571 0.000838
2025-07-20 0.000077 0.000119 0.000180 0.000274 0.000417 0.000623 0.000943
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000113 0.000176 0.000276 0.000432 0.000665 0.001036
2025-08-03 0.000065 0.000107 0.000171 0.000277 0.000445 0.000702 0.001124
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000100 0.000165 0.000274 0.000452 0.000732 0.001201
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000096 0.000162 0.000276 0.000467 0.000773 0.001300
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000090 0.000156 0.000273 0.000474 0.000804 0.001385
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000085 0.000151 0.000272 0.000484 0.000841 0.001484
2025-09-07 0.000043 0.000081 0.000148 0.000273 0.000497 0.000883 0.001595
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000077 0.000143 0.000270 0.000505 0.000917 0.001693
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000074 0.000142 0.000274 0.000524 0.000972 0.001833
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000072 0.000140 0.000276 0.000538 0.001018 0.001961
2025-10-05 0.000032 0.000068 0.000136 0.000273 0.000545 0.001051 0.002065
2025-10-12 0.000031 0.000067 0.000136 0.000281 0.000570 0.001122 0.002245
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000065 0.000135 0.000283 0.000586 0.001174 0.002394
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000062 0.000132 0.000283 0.000598 0.001220 0.002533
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000059 0.000128 0.000280 0.000603 0.001253 0.002648